http://rossparker.com/2009/03/05/climate-change-astrology/ business, finance and life from a London perspective Sat, 10 Dec 2011 00:09:39 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 http://rossparker.com/2009/03/05/climate-change-astrology/#comment-7 Marcus Fri, 06 Mar 2009 13:43:01 +0000 http://www.rossparker.com/?p=138#comment-7 I would be the first to admit (as a climate scientist) that climate scientists don't have a proven hypothesis. If you sat down and talked to any of us we'd say exactly the same thing. We can't prove what's going to happen, that's not how science works, and it really is a very complicated problem. However we can come up with possibilities, likelihoods and expectations, which is exactly how the IPCC report is framed. The science has come a long way since the start of the IPCC process, and with each report the predictions of the previous one have been either matched or exceeded by the observations, apart from a few cases where models needed tweaking, improved computing power meant we could be more subtle, or the climate system has just done something weird. With all this in mind there IS an underlying consensus about two main facts: It's going to get warmer, and it's our fault. What you do with that information is down to policy, politicians and the people. (God help us all). I would be the first to admit (as a climate scientist) that climate scientists don’t have a proven hypothesis. If you sat down and talked to any of us we’d say exactly the same thing. We can’t prove what’s going to happen, that’s not how science works, and it really is a very complicated problem. However we can come up with possibilities, likelihoods and expectations, which is exactly how the IPCC report is framed. The science has come a long way since the start of the IPCC process, and with each report the predictions of the previous one have been either matched or exceeded by the observations, apart from a few cases where models needed tweaking, improved computing power meant we could be more subtle, or the climate system has just done something weird. With all this in mind there IS an underlying consensus about two main facts: It’s going to get warmer, and it’s our fault. What you do with that information is down to policy, politicians and the people. (God help us all).

]]> http://rossparker.com/2009/03/05/climate-change-astrology/#comment-6 lewism Fri, 06 Mar 2009 10:56:09 +0000 http://www.rossparker.com/?p=138#comment-6 Hmm WSJ has form on climate change denial. Try reading <a href="http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2005/04/gwsbingo.php" title="this" rel="nofollow"> article and following through on a few links. The subject is devisive sure enough but the current science is clear even if predicting future weather is not.</a> Hmm WSJ has form on climate change denial. Try reading article and following through on a few links. The subject is devisive sure enough but the current science is clear even if predicting future weather is not.

]]>